Wednesday, October 19, 2005

Wilma: Cat 5

wilma models

Wilma became a category five overnight, but it is not expected to sustain its strength. It is expected to hit Florida, the 64-dollar question being: Where?

The "spaghetti models" are in pretty good agreement for a southerly landfall, but those of us who remember Charley remain skeptical, to say the least. You can see that only one of the models takes Wilma through Tampa bay, but that's enough to keep my attention. Jim and I will be watching carefully and preparing to board up and/or run, if necessary. Check back here for updates as I am able to post them.

The Hunker Bunker is tentatively open for business this weekend to our islander friends and those in low-lying Cortez. We have food, water, flashlights, board games and candles. Bring beer.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

What is the deal with the LBAR model? Can someone provide data on past LBAR predictions either proved false or positive?

Loretta said...

Hurricane Alley discusses all the models. http://www.hurricanealley.net/hurmdls.htm

The map showing the LBAR model was taken from Steve Gregory's blog on Weather Underground:

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/SteveGregory/show.html

I wish I had time to study meteorology so I could explain it better. :-)